Thursday, June 24, 2010

Are you the lucky 1%?

A recent BCG (Boston Consulting Group) report indicates the highest millionaire densities are in Singapore, Hong Kong, Switzerland & the Middle East (in this order).

Millionaire households account for less than 1% of the world’s total household, yet controlling 38% of the world’s total wealth. Global wealth increased 11.5% to USD111.5 trillion, just short of 2007 levels.

Countries with the most millionaire households are in the following order:

Country

Population

No. of Millionaire Households

% of Country’s Wealth

% of Country’s Household

USA

310Mn

4.7Mn

56%

4.1%

Japan

128Mn

1.2Mn

21%

China

1,331Mn

670k

50%

UK

62Mn

485k

23%

Germany

82Mn

430k

22%

Italy

60Mn

300k

27%

Switzerland

7.8Mn

283k

44%

8.4%

France

63Mn

280k

19%

Taiwan

23Mn

230k

37%

3.0%

Hong Kong

7Mn

205k

73%

8.8%

As a Hong Kong person, I’m proud that we made another world’s top 10. Yet, it doesn’t sound right that 8.8% of our households control 73% of the territory’s wealth. Alas, in our motherland China, the mis-proportion is even more dismal.

(source: BCG report, June 2010)

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Creative copying?

Shanghai proudly announced that it has installed a replica of the famous bull sculpture by Arturo Di Modica, sitting in lower Manhattan, in front of the New York Stock Exchange. China’s Wall Street to-be, Shanghai is keen to get a bull as robust & strong as the “Charging Bull” on Broad Street, New York. The Italian American artist has gladly accepted the mission and has made the bull bright-eyed, a little bit more reddish compared to the original, and leaning towards the right rather than to the left as in the US. Yet, the bull now standing on the newly built financial square that includes a four-face screen of stock prices in the bund is exactly the same length, height, and weight as the one installed in New York in 1989. Shanghai government is proud that it finally has something ‘like’ Wall Street. The government’s fervor for using foreign ideas is also fully reflected in private enterprises.

Sportswear Li Ning’s logo is a variation of Nike’s swoosh, and its slogan “Anything is Possible”, is somewhat similar to the one used by Adidas, “Impossible is Nothing”.

Being Chinese, it is at times embarrassing to see that our compatriots are so creative in copying. I do hope creativity will be in the Chinese breed in generations to come.

Brotherhood

India’s billionaire Ambani brothers are as much in the news as the Hong Kong Kwok brothers. A rags to riches story that happened in 1973 with the founding of Reliance by Dhirubhai Ambani, a textile trader in Mumbai, who eventually built India’s largest private sector company, consisting of clothing manufacturing, petrochemicals, oil refining & gas exploration.

When the brothers split up their father’s conglomerate, they entered into a non-compete agreement that prevented them to enter into the same business sector. Rumours say that this is the will of the mother. Nevertheless, after battling 5 years in court, the brothers are now ready to move their rivalry into the market place and compete head on in business.

Reliance Industries (elder brother, Mukesh Ambani, currently Asia’s richest man) – USD44.6Bn annual revenue, engages in natural gas, oil refinery, retail & petrochemicals.

Reliance ADA Group (younger brother, Anil Ambani) – a financial services giant, operating India’s largest mutual fund with USD24Bn under management; also invests in power plants & movie distribution (owning Steven Spielberg’s DreamWorks), and controls India’s no.2 cell phone carrier.

We are also seeing the same juicy news in Hong Kong on the Sun Hung Kai brothers. Perhaps wealth kills brotherhood.

Sunday, May 23, 2010

Collaborative Leadership

In 2nd half of 20th C, influenced by 2 World Wars & Depression, organizations are often top-down and multi-layered, based on military model. Control is exerted through rules and processes. Big American corporations like General Electric, General Motors, AT&T and Sears are role models. They are followed by hundreds of others like Kodak, Motorola & Westinghouse.

As shareholders and the market are looking for quicker and short term results, leaders tend to focus their attention on short term profits. This led to Enron, Worldcom… and then, the Wall Street meltdown. Trust in business leaders plunged. Companies once seen as role models also became failures.

To lead in the new century, a military model no longer works. Authentic leaders have to align people around mission & values, and such would have to be bought in rather than enforced. Shared vision is key to peak performance and to truly inspire a shared vision is the mandate of an authentic leader.

Contemporary management suggests the following:

Aligning : align people around the organization’s mission & shared values, to be part of something greater than themselves. This is a particular challenge for global organizations where local operations typically command more loyalty than a far away corporate headquarters.

Empowering: empower leaders at all levels, especially in the front lines, where people must lead without direct reports. A sophisticated accountability system with closed-loop management is to be in place to ensure commitments are met.

Serving: serve customers rather than shareholders. Provide customers with superior value relative to competitors. Employees are motivated once this is obvious.

Collaborating: collaborate within the organization, with customers, suppliers … to solve business problems. Problems are often too complex to be solved by a single individual or department. Leaders must foster this collaborative spirit by eliminating internal politics & parochialism. Cooperate internally to be competitive externally.

Organizations with authentic leaders building collaborative organizations delivering superior results: IBM’s Sam Palmisano, Cisco’s John Chambers, PepsiCo’s Indra Nooyi, General Mills’ Ken Powell and Avon’s Andrea Jung. They are new role models to validate that capitalism is still the best economic system.

(Synopsis of an article by Bill George, Professor of Management Practice at Harvard Business School, and author of “7 Lessons for Leading in Crisis” and “Authentic Leadership”)

Conspicuous Consumption






From Wikipedia: Conspicuous consumption is a term used to describe the lavish spending on goods and services acquired mainly for the purpose of displaying income or wealth. In the mind of a conspicuous consumer, such display serves as a means of attaining or maintaining social status.
Bentley sold 404 cars in China vs 1,368 in Europe last year. Lamborghini sold 66 compared to 565 in Europe. Rolls Royce sold 106 cars in China in 2008, and Beijing is now the city with the 3rd highest sales of RR in the world.
Bain & Company estimates that China, now the world’s second largest market for luxury brands, could unseat Japan for the top spot within a few years. With over 120 cities with population exceeding 1 Mn, potential for growth of the luxury market further to the coastal and first-tier cities are tremendous. Second & third-tier cities such as Zhuhai, Shaoxing & Wuxi have contributed to 60% of the luxury market growth in 2008 & 2009. Comparatively, big spenders in first-tier cities tend to shop overseas where prices are cheaper and selections are more abundant. In 2008, mainland stores only accounts for 40% of all luxury sales made to Chinese consumers.

Nevertheless, a walk along Huai Hai Zhong Lu in Shanghai will witness a row of top luxury brands including Cartier, Tiffany, Louis Vuitton, Zegna …. & Hermes under renovation.

Monday, April 12, 2010

Product Extension to kill your own Product

Reynolds, maker of Camel cigarette, is also producing & marketing an array of smokeless alternatives – including Camel strips, lozenges and snuff. These are in fact nicotine candies to offer smokers a mechanism to maintain their addiction when they need to be in a smokeless environment. This seems a natural product extension for a cigarette producer to ensure that they retain in business even when smoking is being discouraged world-wide. Industry statistics demonstrate that sales volumes of smokeless tobacco are rising 6% a year while cigarettes are falling 4%. This estimates the US smokeless tobacco market at USD6.5Bn in 2010.

Smokeless tobacco has been criticized as a worse alternative to cigarette as it decreases the incentive to quit. To carry their product extension one step further, Reynolds is now getting into offering smoking-cessation products. It bought Niconovum last December, a Swedish maker of nicotine gums. This product is to compete with products such as Nicorette gum and Commit lozenges sold by pharmaceutical giant GlaxoSmith-Kline, a quit-smoke aid. Quit-smoke products are an annual USD2.1Bn market in the US.

In offering a “Total tobacco” solution, from consuming it to stop consuming it, Reynolds is perhaps a pioneer in product marketing that actually offer consumers a complete choice and a total solution.

Reynolds American commands 28.3% market share in US while Philip Morris tops the market with a 49.9% share.

1 in 5 Americans smoke today compare to 1 in 3 in 1980.

Thursday, March 18, 2010

Crisisu Managemento

Western manufacturing operations have been following Japanese Kaizen (improvement systems) in the past decades. Yet, it is now time for the Japanese to learn Crisisu Managemento from the West. The recent Toyota “sudden acceleration” saga has unfortunately led to 52 fatalities, and possibly the downfall of the world’s largest vehicle manufacturer. While the lost of lives is unforgivable, a successful business operation as Toyota has also provided livelihood to a host of employees, dealers and stake-holders in markets it operates. My verdict is that Toyota should still be given a chance.

Despite Akio Toyoda has made his round of apologies in the US & China, sales is slipping in the two countries. Having recalled 8.5Mn vehicles world-side, Japan remains the only bright spot for Toyota where Prius again remained as the top selling car in Japan in February, nine straight months in a row. This is despite a recall of 199,666 Prius to upgrade its antilock braking software in February.

In a recent poll in China, public opinion on Japanese brands appears to be negative. Based on a survey conducted by Sina.com, 73.6% of on-line respondents mentioned that they would not buy Toyota or Honda cars. Only 16.4% listed Japanese brands as their preference. Despite this, Toyota said February sales in China rose 30% to 45,400 units compared to last year. However, this is a severe drop from 72,000 unit sales in January.